How Industry Trends Impact Business Valuation

How Industry Trends Impact Business Valuation

A business valuation considers industry trends and how well the company is prepared for them.

Market Growth: A growing industry positively impacts the valuation of businesses operating within it. This growth suggests the potential for higher future revenues and profits.  A great example today is data security and privacy.  We all deal with the issues that surround this growing issue.

Technology Advancements: Industries embracing technological innovations tend to command higher valuations. Companies leading in technological innovation are often valued` more due to their competitive advantage.  Artificial intelligence is enhancing (and changing) almost every industry.

Regulatory Changes: Changes in industry regulations can positively and negatively affect business valuation. Companies that adapt well to these changes may see an increase in value.  Others see a new niche as regulation changes.

Consumer Preference: Shifting consumer preferences can significantly affect the demand for products or services. Businesses aligning with these preferences tend to have higher valuations.  The fashion industry is a perfect case.  Everything from clothes to cars to eyeglasses depends on current consumer tastes.

Competitive Landscape: The level of competition within an industry plays a role in business valuation. Companies with a strong market position and competitive advantage tend to have higher valuations.  Smaller businesses fill niches that larger companies can’t or will not. Larger competitors often cannot provide customers with small quantities of an item.  They cannot invest in designing a component to a customer’s specification unless the resultant product has a broad reach.

Global Economic Conditions: Overall economic conditions, both globally and locally, can impact business valuations. Economic downturns may lead to lower valuations, while periods of growth can have the opposite effect.  Some industries are counter-cyclical.

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Factors: Increasing importance placed on ESG considerations can influence business valuation. Companies with strong ESG practices are often more attractive to investors.  Sustainability is a hot topic that companies are currently navigating.  European companies already must report on their sustainability efforts.  Are American companies soon to follow?

Supply Chain Resilience: Recent events, like the COVID-19 pandemic, have highlighted the importance of supply chain resilience. Companies with robust supply chains are valued higher due to reduced operational risks.  The challenge here is ordering well in advance and stocking higher levels of inventory.  Customers who pay their bills on time are well remembered when vendor supplies are short.

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Activity: The level of M&A activity within an industry can impact valuations. High M&A activity can drive up valuations as companies become potential acquisition targets.  Keep in mind, though, these acquisitions often are not a good indicator of value for a typical valuation for a regulatory filing, like an estate tax return or an annual ESOP filing.  Each acquirer has a specific agenda when buying a company, ranging from entering a new market to synergistic sales.  These buyers are often willing to pay more because of a specific agenda.   Valuations for regulatory purposes cannot rely on unknown agendas.   These valuations must assume (with exception) that the buyer will run the company similarly to the current owner.

Repeating Revenue Streams: Industries shifting towards subscription-based models, service contracts or significant repeatable revenues often receive higher valuations.  Wouldn’t you pay more for certainty?

Adapting strategies to align with these trends can maximize a company’s valuation. Additionally, a comprehensive business valuation considers various financial, operational, and market factors to provide a holistic assessment of a company’s worth.

Business Valuation Challenges and How to Overcome Them

Business Valuation Challenges and How to Overcome Them

Business valuation, also known as business appraisal, involves determining the economic value of a business. There are several challenges associated with this process and overcoming them requires careful consideration and expertise. Below are some common challenges and ways to overcome them:

Subjectivity and Bias

Challenge: Valuation can be subjective, and biases may impact the appraiser’s judgment.

Solution: Use standardized valuation methods, consider multiple approaches (income, market, asset-based), and involve independent appraisers to minimize subjectivity. Bias may be driven by communicating with and receiving information from only one owner as opposed to top management in general.  Involving the management team helps eliminate bias.

Data Accuracy and Availability

Challenge: Lack of accurate and up-to-date financial information can hinder the valuation process.

Solution: Ensure thorough due diligence including discussing future projections with management, verify financial statements, and use reliable sources for market data. Work closely with the business owners and financial professionals. Apply adjustments to normalize financial data – eliminate nonrecurring transactions and bring owner-driven expenses to market value (e.g., compensation and rent paid to related parties).

Industry Complexity

Challenge: Valuing businesses in complex or niche industries can be challenging due to unique factors. Finding comparable companies for benchmarking can be difficult for unique or niche businesses.

Solution: Engage experts who have access to industry research and can understand the specific challenges and dynamics of the business. Consider how the industry impacts the company and discuss how that will be reflected in the appraisal. Consider a wide range of industries that may share characteristics with the company.  For example SaaS companies in the fintech sector may be applicable to other SaaS models in the communication space.

Future Projections

Challenge: Predicting future cash flows and growth rates is inherently uncertain.

Solution: Base projections on realistic assumptions, consider a range of scenarios, and perform sensitivity analysis. Compare the company to its peers to determine if the margins and balance sheet composition appear reasonable.  Use discounted cash flow (DCF) methods with supportable assumptions.

Intangible Assets

Challenge: Valuing standalone intangible assets like a tradename or patent requires a separate valuation.

Solution: Utilize accepted valuation methods for intangibles, such as the relief from royalty or cost-to-recreate methods. Seek guidance from professionals with expertise in valuing intangible assets and access to intangible asset market data.

Market Fluctuations

Challenge: External economic factors can impact the value of a business.

Solution: Consider the economic environment, industry trends, and market conditions. Use appropriate discount rates to account for risk and uncertainty.

Communication and Transparency

Challenge: Communicating the valuation process and results to stakeholders can be challenging.

Solution: Work with a business appraiser to clearly communicate the methodology, assumptions, and limitations of the valuation. Provide transparency to build trust and address any concerns from stakeholders and eliminate bias in information provided to the business appraiser.

 Changing Business Environment

Challenge: Rapid changes in technology, market dynamics, or regulations can impact the business value.

Solution: Regularly update the valuation based on changes in the business environment. Stay vigilant about external factors that may influence the business’s prospects.

 

Overcoming these challenges requires a comprehensive and thoughtful approach. Engaging qualified professionals, using standardized methodologies, and staying informed about industry and economic trends are key strategies in achieving a reliable business appraisal.

Addressing Common Business Valuation Questions

Addressing Common Business Valuation Questions

What is the business valuation process?  We address common questions and debunk misconceptions surrounding the business appraisal process.

Are Valuations Only for Selling or Buying a Business?

While business valuation is often associated with selling or buying a business, it is most often used for various purposes such as estate planning, divorce settlements, employee compensation, tax purposes, Employee Stock Ownership Plans, and strategic planning.

Are Valuations Completely Objective?

While there are objective methods for business valuation, subjectivity and judgment are important. Factors like market conditions, future projections, and risk assessments involve some level of judgment.  The key word is judgment.  The valuation is an opinion of value.  All the judgments made by the appraiser should be well documented in the report.

Is a Valuation Only Based on Financial Statements?

Financial statements are important, but they are far from the sole basis for business valuation. Appraisers will typically normalize an entity’s financial results to eliminate nonrecurring transactions and reflect market rates for owner driven expenses such as compensation to owners and family and rent paid to related parties.

Factors like a company’s earnings projections, changes in industry trends, shifting market conditions, and the company’s competitive position play a significant role.

Is the Opinion of Value a One-Time Event?

The short answer is yes.  The valuation date drives the business valuation, and the appraiser should consider what is known or knowable as of that date. Unknown or unknowable subsequent events should not come into play.  The value of a business will change over time due to market fluctuations, changes in management or operations, or shifts in the industry.

Does a Valuation Equal Market Price?

The value determined through a business appraisal is usually not the same as the market price.  The value determined depends on the reason the business appraisal is needed.  When an arm’s length transaction occurs between an entity and a financial buyer, the purchase price should be a strong proxy for the fair market value of the entity.  When an arm’s length transaction occurs between an entity and a synergistic buyer in the case of a merger, the purchase price may surpass fair market value and reach a higher value.  This reflects the synergies the buyer anticipates after closing the deal – cross selling opportunities, entry into new markets, cost savings are examples.  Market price is influenced by negotiation, buyer and seller motivations, and other external factors.

 Are Valuations Only Appropriate for Large Businesses?

Small businesses can benefit even more from a valuation. Large businesses that are publicly traded already know their value from the stock market.

Valuations are required for transactions that require reporting to regulatory authorities such as the IRS.  These include as with estate administration, gifts of ownership interests, compensation, employee stock ownership plans, among others.

Understanding the worth of your business helps in making informed decisions and in planning for the future.

Do I Need to Be an Expert to Understand Valuations?

Only the appraiser needs to be an expert. A well-written valuation report should provide a clear roadmap for the business owners to understand the conclusion. Collaborating with valuation experts may be needed.

Are Valuation Models Always Accurate Predictors of Value?

In any model, the quality of the output is determined by the quality of the input. Valuation models provide estimates based on assumptions regarding future financial earnings, expected nature of business operations, and information regarding a company’s market, industry, and the impact of the economy on the company. Assumptions should be reasonably sound and backed by data, otherwise the valuation model may not accurately predict value.

As we all know, circumstances can change quickly.  COVID-19 taught us all that fact.

Is your Closely Held Company a Strong Candidate for Private Equity Acquisition?

Is your Closely Held Company a Strong Candidate for Private Equity Acquisition?

 

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Competition among Private equity (PE) firms and the creation of smaller PE firms have opened opportunities for smaller businesses to be acquired. Just a few years ago, if your EBITDA was less than $5 million, the PE firms would move on.  Today, the benchmark is at $3 million. And sometimes even less.

PE firms look for certain characteristics in potential targets.  Like your business, every investment a PE firm makes is unique.  Successful private equity targets look for these target company acquisition characteristics.

  1. Strong Management Team:
    • A capable and experienced management team is crucial. Private equity firms look for teams that have a track record of successful leadership and a clear vision for the future.
  2. Stable Cash Flow:
    • Consistent and predictable cash flow is attractive to private equity investors. It provides a foundation for steady returns and helps service debt taken on during the acquisition.
  3. Growth Potential:
    • Private equity investors seek companies with significant growth potential. This can come from expanding market share, entering new markets, introducing new products/services, or improving operational efficiency. It may come from synergies with other companies the PE firm has an ownership interest in.
  4. Scalability:
    • Businesses that can scale efficiently are often more attractive. This scalability may come from the ability to increase production without proportionally increasing costs or the potential for geographic expansion.
  5. Market Position:
    • A strong competitive position within the industry is desirable. Private equity firms may target companies that are leaders or have the potential to become leaders in their market segments. Smaller businesses often serve a market niche the goliath competitors cannot.  While this will increase profits and market share, it may be undesirable to a buyer.
  6. Clear Exit Strategy:
    • Private equity investors are interested in companies with clear and viable exit strategies. This may include the potential for an IPO (Initial Public Offering), a strategic sale, or another form of exit that generates a profitable return.
  7. Operational Efficiency:
    • Efficient operations and effective cost management contribute to a company’s attractiveness. Private equity firms often seek targets where they can implement operational improvements to enhance profitability.
  8. Attractive Valuation:
    • The purchase price and valuation of the target company are critical considerations. Private equity firms aim to acquire businesses at a reasonable valuation to maximize potential returns.
  9. Adaptability and Innovation:
    • Companies that can adapt to changing market conditions and innovate in response to industry trends are often favored. Private equity investors look for targets that can stay ahead of the curve.
  10. Clear Corporate Governance:
    • Private equity firms prefer companies with strong corporate governance structures. This includes transparent financial reporting, effective risk management, and adherence to ethical business practices.
  11. Limited Capital Expenditure Requirements:
    • Targets with lower capital expenditure needs are often preferred, as this allows for more flexibility in allocating resources for growth initiatives or debt repayment.
  12. Favorable Industry Trends:
    • Private equity firms may target industries with positive growth trends, as this can contribute to the overall success of the investment.

How does your company fare?  This may be the opportune time to make needed changes… changes that may drive positive changes in the future value of your company and the cash flow to you today.

It’s important to note that these characteristics may vary depending on the investment strategy of the private equity firm, the industry in which the target operates, and the economic conditions at the time of the investment. Additionally, the success of a private equity investment often involves collaboration between the private equity firm and the management team of the target company.

Understanding EBITDA and Why It’s Important in Business Valuation

Understanding EBITDA and Why It’s Important in Business Valuation

 

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EBITDA stands for Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.  This metric is commonly used by investment bankers, business appraisers, and business owners to assess profitability and determine the value of a business.  What is it, and why is it important in a business valuation?

EBITDA is considered important in business valuation for several reasons:

  • Operating Performance: EBITDA provides a measure of a company’s operating performance by excluding non-operating expenses such as interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. This allows investors and analysts to focus on the core profitability of the business without being influenced by factors such as the company’s financing structure or accounting policies.
  • Comparability: EBITDA facilitates the comparison of the operating performance of different companies, especially those with different capital structures or accounting methods. By excluding interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, EBITDA allows for a more standardized comparison of earnings across companies.
  • Cash Flow Proxies: EBITDA is often used as a proxy for cash flow. While it doesn’t represent actual cash flow, it is considered a useful measure because it excludes non-cash expenses (depreciation and amortization) and financing-related items (interest and taxes).
  • Simplicity: EBITDA provides a simplified measure of a company’s earnings, making it easier for investors, analysts, and stakeholders to understand and compare companies. This simplicity can be especially valuable in industries where capital structures and accounting practices vary widely.
  • Valuation Multiples: EBITDA is commonly used in the calculation of valuation multiples such as the EV/EBITDA ratio. This ratio helps in comparing a company’s enterprise value (“EV”) to its operating performance, allowing for a standardized valuation metric.
  • Mergers and Acquisitions: EBITDA is frequently used in M&A transactions as a key metric for determining the purchase price of a business. Buyers often use EBITDA multiples to assess the value of a target company, helping them make comparisons and informed decisions.

However, it’s important to note that while EBITDA can be a useful metric, it does have limitations.

  • Excludes certain costs: It may not provide a complete picture of a company’s financial health since it excludes certain important costs. It does not account for capital expenditures, changes in working capital, or the cost of replacing depreciated assets. As such, it should be used in conjunction with other financial metrics and a thorough analysis of a company’s financial health when conducting business valuations.
  • Can be manipulated: It is important to look at normalized EBITDA over a relevant period, not just recorded EBITDA for the period prior to a transaction.  Private businesses have discretion over the recording of financial transactions such as the compensation paid to officers, income or expenses received or paid from affiliated entities, and the timing of optional expenses.  Also, many businesses tend to be cyclical and looking at a recent best year or worst year EBITDA may not be indicative of the future sustainable profitability of a company.
  • Norms can vary by industry: Different industries may have different norms for valuation metrics, so it’s crucial to consider industry benchmarks and comparable company analysis when using EBITDA for valuation purposes. Professional financial analysts often use a combination of metrics and methods to arrive at a comprehensive business valuation.